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The Fixed services in Central and Eastern Europe: trends and forecasts 2019-2024

DESCRIPTION

TABLE OF CONTENTS

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DESCRIPTION

The total fixed service revenue in CEE will grow with a CAGR of 0.35% from 2019 to 2024, led by increasing take-up of NGA fixed broadband services. This report examines key trends and drivers and provide comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecast for the CEE region and for 16 individually modelled countries.

Next-generation access network roll-outs and attractive bundled offers will support broadband household penetration growth across Central and Eastern Europe

THIS REPORT PROVIDES:

a 5-year forecast of 110 fixed KPIs for the Central and Eastern European region and for 14 key countries
an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of fixed service, and for key countries
an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, which highlights similarities and differences between countries
a summary of results, key implications and recommendations for fixed operators.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

5.Executive summary
Executive summary
Worldwide trends
Worldwide: the increase in fixed broadband revenue will be driven by increasing next-generation access (NGA) take-up
Regional trends
The fixed voice retail revenue will decline rapidly, but both fixed broadband and business services revenue will grow at a CAGR of 2.6%
Over 60% of households in CEE will have an active NGA broadband connection in 2024
NGA network roll-outs and attractive bundled offers will support broadband household penetration growth across the region
Increasing broadband household penetration and NGA service take-up will help operators to maintain reasonably stable ASPU levels
The increasing coverage of high-speed broadband networks will help operators to maintain broadband revenue growth
Country-level trends
Czech Republic: consumers will have a greater choice of fixed broadband technology following FTTP/B and 5G BFWA network expansions
Poland: investments in infrastructure will allow operators to maintain ASPU levels despite the high competitive pressure
Russia: fixed broadband revenue will grow modestly thanks to enhancements in service quality

19.Turkey: increasing fibre household penetration and bundled services will help to maintain the high fixed broadband ASPU
Forecast methodology and assumptions
Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge
Examples of forecast input drivers
About the authors and Analysys Mason
About the authors
Analysys Mason’s consulting and research are uniquely positioned
Research from Analysys Mason
Consulting from Analysys Mason

List of figures:

Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by type and total service revenue, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024
Figure 2: Fixed service revenue in CEE and the rest of the world, 2014–2024

Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024

Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024

Figure 5: Fixed connections by type, Central and Eastern Europe (million), 2014–2024
Figure 6: Broadband connections by technology, Central and Eastern Europe (million), 2014–2024
Figure 7: Fixed retail revenue by service, Central and Eastern Europe (EUR billion), 2014–2024
Figure 8: NGA broadband household penetration and NGA share of broadband connections, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024
Figure 9: Fixed internet traffic per broadband connection, Central and Eastern Europe (GB per month), 2014–2024
Figure 10a: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024

Figure 10b: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024
Figure 11a: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024

Figure 11b: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2014–2024
Figure 12: Fixed voice, broadband and pay-TV ASPU, Czech Republic (CZK per month), 2014–2024
Figure 13: Broadband connections by type, Czech Republic (million), 2014–2024

Figure 14: Fixed voice, broadband and pay-TV ASPU, Poland (PLN per month), 2014–2024

Figure 15: Broadband connections by type, Poland (million), 2014–2024
Figure 16: Fixed voice, broadband and pay-TV ASPU, Russia (RUB per month), 2014–2024

Figure 17: Broadband connections by type, Russia (million), 2014–2024
Figure 18: Fixed voice, broadband and pay-TV ASPU, Turkey (TRY per month), 2014–2024

Figure 19: Broadband connections by type, Turkey (million), 2014–2024

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